Cost of EU Opposition to Genetically Modified Wheat in Terms of Global Food Security
The main objective of the thesis is to estimate the loss in global food security if the EU does not relax their opposition to GM food. To meet this objective a market model is combined with a GM diffusion model to create a global food security (GFS) model. The focus of the model is GM wheat, due to the vital importance of conventional wheat to global food security. This approach allows us to evaluate dynamic economic responses to food production shocks, such as climate change. The GFS model is calibrated using production, consumption and price data for wheat. A number of scenarios are analyzed to consider the range of potential effects of the EU opposition on global food security. The results of the analyses will better inform the ongoing GM policy debates, which often ignore food security impacts.
Advisor:Belcher, Kenneth W.; Bruneau, Joel; Gray, Richard S.; Phillips, Peter W. B.; Veeman, Terry
School:University of Saskatchewan
School Location:Canada - Saskatchewan
Source Type:Master's Thesis
Keywords:adoption decisions consumer opposition gm wheat food security
Date of Publication:09/21/2004