Application of Deterministic-Probabilistic (D-P)Criterion to Bulk Electric System Planning
This research work introduces the concept of a joint deterministic-probabilistic (D-P) criterion for bulk electric system planning using a previously developed software package designated as MECORE. The D-P concept presented is a deterministic framework that incorporates a probabilistic criterion. This research examines the application of the conventional deterministic N-1, the basic probabilistic and the D-P criteria to two test systems. The studies show that the D-P approach is driven by the accepted deterministic N-1 criterion and influenced by the probabilistic criterion (Pc). The D-P technique adds additional probabilistic risk information to the traditional deterministic N-1 criterion that is useful when making system reinforcement decisions.
The research work illustrated in this thesis indicates that the D-P criterion and associated procedures for bulk electric system analysis can be effectively utilized in bulk electric system reliability assessment. The conclusions and the techniques presented in this thesis should prove valuable to those responsible for composite generation and transmission system expansion planning.
Advisor:G. Wacker; R.Bolton; R. Karki; R.Johanson; R.Burton; Roy Billinton
School:University of Saskatchewan
School Location:Canada - Saskatchewan
Source Type:Master's Thesis
Keywords:reliability bulk electric system criterion
Date of Publication:06/28/2007